Labor Victory Predicted in Queensland Election

Pryor Cartoon - dispatching Turnbull

Queensland election: Labor to form majority government, Antony Green predicts:

Labor would have 46 seats and would win another two, clearing the 47 needed to govern with a majority.

The LNP is predicted to win 39 seats.

One Nation and the Greens are predicted to win one seat each, Katter's Australia Party two, and one independent.

Green said it looked like the Palaszczuk Government had been returned.

"I think it is the Labor majority government that we are currently projecting, but if they fall short of that by one seat they will still be the government," he said.

"There are enough independents in the party for them to still have a significant number more than the LNP.

"I think they have a certain 46, and they only need one more vote.

"At the moment we are giving them another two on prediction.

Green said the introduction of compulsory preferential voting had a lot to do with that outcome and had created odd results in some seats.

"It's one of the more complex elections I've worked on," he said.

Support for the LNP had fallen significantly, often due to One Nation, yet the LNP actually benefited from Labor preferences in some seats.

"It's the weird thing in this election, is that it's the bronze medallist who will determine who gets silver and gold," he said.

ABC political commentator Barrie Cassidy said it was a poor result for the LNP, after Mr Nicholls left open the prospect of dealing with One Nation to form government.

"The problem is this — One Nation got 12 per cent of the vote, but 88 per cent of people didn't vote for One Nation," he said.