Monday, October 29, 2007

Howard's scare campaign failing

Voters in critical NSW marginal seats are ignoring the Coalition's expensive anti-union fear campaign.

They are moving to Labor, even when they have respect for their sitting Liberal MP.

In NSW Prime Minister John Howard stands to lose Lindsay and Dobell, and is in danger in Robertson and Paterson, an exclusive Galaxy survey has found.

Galaxy found the Liberal primary vote in the four marginals had fallen 8 per cent since the 2004 election, while Labor's support had risen by 9 per cent.

The two-party preferred vote, after preferences were allocated, was 54 per cent Labor and 46 per cent Liberal.

The Liberals may need to retain all of their 21 NSW seats to ensure Labor's Kevin Rudd does not get the 16 extra required nationally to take government.

The results also showed that electors in two seats in which former trade union officials are running were not bothered by the Coalition's warning about union influence on a possible Labor government.

Only 27 per cent said the ex-union leaders were poor choices as candidates, while 45 per cent said they were good choices and 28 per cent were uncommitted.

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